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OnJune4,Cambodiahelditscommuneelections,acrucialtestforthecountry'spoliticalstrongman,incumbentPrimeMinisterHunSen,whohaswarnedof"civilwar"ifhispartyloses.
Theprimeminister'swarningaddedasmellofgunpowdertothecommuneelections,whichserveasabarometerforthe2018generalelection.
Theballotingconcludedinanorderlymanner,leavingsignificantimplicationsforthetrajectoryofCambodia'sdemocraticpolitics.?
Cambodiahassuccessfullyheldfourcommuneelectionssofar.Asa"bigevent"forregisteringtheelectoratetovoteandparticipateinpolitics,thecommuneelectionsmeanthatvotersdirectlyelectCommuneandSangkatCouncils.?
TheCommuneandSangkatCouncilshaveboththepowerofdecision-makingandappointment,decidingmattersbyasimplemajorityanddirectlyappointingvillageleaders.Therefore,majorCambodianpoliticalpartiesvaluecommuneelectionsasmuchasgeneralelectionsandtheirperformanceistakenasabarometerforthenextyear'snationalassemblyelections.?
Thefinalresultofthe2017communeelectionswillnotbereleaseduntilSunday.TheNationalElectionCommitteeofCambodia,however,announcedthepreliminaryresultonJune4,showingthattherulingCambodianPeople'sParty(CPP)won1,163seatsoutof1,646,70percentoftheseats.Thebiggestoppositionparty,theCambodiaNationalRescueParty(CNRP),won482withabout30percentoftheseats.OneseatwenttotheKhmerNationalUnityParty.?
ItisevidentthattheCPPledbycurrentPrimeMinisterHunSenhas"won"theelectionsandtheCNRP's"failure"isobvious.HunSennotedinawrittenspeechwithinthepartythattheCPPwonmanymorevotesthanin2013,soithaswonthecommuneelectionsandHunSenexpressedconfidenceofkeepingpowerinnextyear'sgeneralelection.?
Incontrastwiththesehigh-soundingwords,theCNRPspokespersonadmittedtheparty'sfailureintheelection.However,itcanbearemarkablevictoryfortheCNRPconsideringitssignificantlyimprovedperformance.?
柬埔寨首相、人民党主席洪森(前排左)及其夫人4日在干丹省的投票站投票
TheCNRPwoninthethreemostimportantcommunes—PhnomPenh,SiemReapandKampongCham(withthelargestpopulationandmostseats).Moreover,comparedwiththe2012communeelections,theCNRPhasmadenotableprogress.TheCNRPisamergeroftwopoliticalparties,theSamRainsyPartyandtheHumanRightsParty.Inwinning46percentofthepopularvote,theCNRPperformed15percentagepointsbetterthanthecombinedperformanceofitsprecursorpartiesduringthe2012communeelection.
Thecommuneelectionsalsoshowtwooutstandingfeatures.Oneishighvoterturnout.StatisticsshowthatCambodiahas7.87millionregisteredvoters,andtheNationalElectionCommitteehasdisclosedthatmorethan6millionpeoplevotedthisyearwithaturnoutof85.74percent.?
TheelectionswerejustandorderlywithsupervisionbyinspectorsfromCambodiaandforeigncountriessuchastheUS.Justnessandopennesshavebeenrealizedanddomesticandforeigninspectorsholdconsistentopinionsabouttheresult.?
The"win-win"situationenablestheCPPandtheCNRPtocompetepeacefullythroughelectionsundertheexistingpoliticalframework,whichobviouslyisgoodforthepeople.Afterall,"civilwar,"asHunSenwarnedof,andstreetprotests,whichwereoftenstagedbytheCNRP,wouldbeadisasterforeconomicandsocialdevelopment.?
Thetwopartieshavestartedpreparingforthe2018election.Politicalstabilityaswellaseconomicgrowth,rightsandbenefitsarenecessitiesforpeople,andpoliticalpartiesneedenoughpoliticalwisdomtoprovideit.
原题:Win-winresultinCambodia’scommunevote
作者:葛红亮,察哈尔学会研究员、广西民族大学东盟研究中心研究员
文章来源:《环球时报》英文版(GlobalTimes)2017年6月22日
(图片来源于网络)
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